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Fighting a Brexit Election

Summary:
The Conservatives seem to have actively tried to lose the 2017 election by including fox hunting and charges on the elderly in their manifesto.  Now that Hammond and other Remain Tories are no longer setting the agenda the new Conservatives can have a tactical election for Brexit.  This is a Brexit election.  Most importantly they must link Austerity with the EU.  The prolonged lack of cash for Public Services, including the NHS, was largely a result of EU Membership.  The UK Excess Deficit Procedure was based on the terms of the EU Stability and Growth Pact (click on the link to check this) and this procedure prolonged Austerity.  Had the UK been a member of the Eurozone, with no opt outs on obeying the sanctions of the EU Excess Deficit Procedure, Austerity would have been worse,

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The Conservatives seem to have actively tried to lose the 2017 election by including fox hunting and charges on the elderly in their manifesto.  Now that Hammond and other Remain Tories are no longer setting the agenda the new Conservatives can have a tactical election for Brexit.  This is a Brexit election. 

Most importantly they must link Austerity with the EU.  The prolonged lack of cash for Public Services, including the NHS, was largely a result of EU Membership.  The UK Excess Deficit Procedure was based on the terms of the EU Stability and Growth Pact (click on the link to check this) and this procedure prolonged Austerity.  Had the UK been a member of the Eurozone, with no opt outs on obeying the sanctions of the EU Excess Deficit Procedure, Austerity would have been worse, however even with the opt outs from sanctions the pro-EU trio of Osborne, Cameron and Cable still ensured that the UK obeyed the EU rules.

Austerity was due to the EU and lack of investment in the NHS was due to Austerity.

HM Treasury has been the main proponent of EU membership.  We all know about the scurrilous pre-Referendum report by the Treasury (Project Fear) and the equally scurrilous "No Deal" Treasury reports.  The Treasury "predictions" must be exposed, it is especially easy to expose the pre-Referendum Project Fear by the Treasury because the UK economy has been fine since the Referendum and is due to outpace the large EU economies this year:

Fighting a Brexit Election
Data source: EU Economic Performance/Forecasts
It is easy to expose the "falling pound" as a result of the shocking balance of payments deficit due to EU Membership, not Brexit.

Fighting a Brexit Election
Pound started falling in 2014, before the Referendum because of the appalling deficit with EU. Source: ONS Data
Having shown that the HM Treasury cannot be trusted on Brexit the campaign should dismiss the "predictions" of Remain economists.

The economic argument must be shifted from "predictions" to reality. 

It is one of the puzzling features of the Campaign for Independence that those who support Independence have failed to draw attention to the fact that production is shifting from the UK to the EU, largely as a result of increasing EU ownership of UK industry.  The overall trade deficit with the EU in goods and services is a direct measure of the value of work that should be done in the UK that is taking place in the EU:

Fighting a Brexit Election
ONS Data UK Trade Deficit with EU

This shift in production to the EU amounts to over 3% of UK GDP a year.  Even if only half of this deficit can be moved back to UK production by 2030 it would provide a boost of £360 billion in total to the UK economy.  £360 billion dwarfs even the worst "predictions" for the adverse effect of a No Deal Brexit in the imaginary "No Deal Apocalypse" reports by the discredited HM Treasury.

Many Remain voters are unaware of the fact that EU "shared competences" are areas of government that the EU controls but delegates to the UK.  The EU can assume almost full powers of government over the UK (except direct taxation) without the need for further treaties.  Any party standing on a pro-Brexit platform must drive this message home.  This election really is about Independence.

A concerted effort should be made to turn the tables on Racism.  The EU is a racist state by UK standards. EU Racism is far worse than the UK and by supporting Remain people are supporting Racism.

Fighting a Brexit Election
We should never forget that it was the middle classes such as teachers who supported the Nazis, those who arrogantly "know best" even when people are telling them in a Referendum that they are in pain.  It is no coincidence that this same group backs Remain:

Fighting a Brexit Election
Labour and LibDems are now the parties of the middle and upper classes, their politicians putting on fake working class accents and promising gifts to fool low earners into voting for them.

This is class war.  The mobile rich who believe little Penny will be able to use her degree in the EU versus the rest of the people of the UK.

On the Environment it should be made clear that in Europe the individual nations have long ceded their power over global environmental strategy to the EU (Treaty on European Union, Art 191).  Failure to act over the past 30 years is due to EU inaction.  This inaction is largely due to the massive power of large, multinational corporations in the EU. (See What has Arctic Ice got to do with the EU?).

The greatest environmental threat to the UK is overpopulation (See We are running out of water).  Our urban and infrastructure development is literally squashing the life out of our garden landscape.

Fighting a Brexit Election
It is time to call a halt to the large scale migration into the UK of the past 30 years.

1/11/2019

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