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Tag Archives: Scotland

How electoral competition explains preference convergence and divergence in pre-electoral coalitions

While most coalition governments form after the results of an election, some parties choose to announce their intention to form pre-electoral coalitions before a vote has been held. Based on a recent study, Zachary Greene and Matthias Haber explore why parties, which are usually in direct conflict with one another for electoral support, choose to engage in this kind of cooperation. Their findings highlight that close competitors can often use their electoral context to mutual advantage and...

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Now Article 50 has been triggered, will the United Kingdom survive?

The UK has formally given notice of its intention to leave the European Union by triggering Article 50. Janice Morphet assesses what the process will mean for the United Kingdom, writing that with a second independence referendum looming in Scotland, and a difficult picture emerging in Northern Ireland, the British Prime Minister could be soon be fighting on two fronts to preserve the Union. PM Theresa May. Credits: Tom Evans / Crown copyright (CC BY-NC-ND 2.0) Now that Nicola Sturgeon has...

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A weaker economic case, but a stronger political one – how Yes could win a second referendum in Scotland

Scotland’s First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, stated on 13 March that she intends to seek a new referendum on Scottish independence. Stuart Brown assesses how this second referendum campaign might play out. He writes that the Yes side would have a far more problematic economic picture to contend with than they had in 2014, but that the political argument for independence has potentially been strengthened by Brexit and the collapse of Scottish Labour. Nicola Sturgeon has finally announced her...

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A Second Independence Referendum in Scotland: The Legal Issues

Following Nicola Sturgeon’s announcement of a second independence referendum for Scotland, Stephen Tierney discusses how the next two years are set to be consumed by two parallel processes: We will see the UK leave the EU and could also see Scotland leave the UK in an effort to remain within the EU.  Holyrood Abbey, Edinburgh. Credits: Laszlo Ilyes (CC BY 2.0) Scottish First Minister Nicola Sturgeon recently announced the Scottish Government’s intention to hold a second referendum on...

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Indyref2: A bold but unsurprising move from Nicola Sturgeon

In a speech on 13 March, Nicola Sturgeon outlined her intention to call a second Scottish independence referendum. Paul Anderson writes that while the announcement was not surprising given recent speculation, it was nevertheless a bold move on the part of Sturgeon. Only time will tell, however, whether she will be remembered as the First Minister who presided over the independence of Scotland or the leader who got it spectacularly wrong. Nicola Sturgeon on 13 March 2017, Credit: Scottish...

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Why has Brexit failed to boost support for Scottish independence?

In the immediate aftermath of the UK’s decision to leave the EU, several opinion polls showed a majority of people in Scotland would vote for independence in a hypothetical second referendum. However, as Sean Swan writes, the polling in recent months has shown a consistent majority of respondents opposing independence. He isolates three key reasons why Brexit has not resulted in the boost for independence that some observers had anticipated. During the Brexit referendum campaign, David...

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Scotland, Brexit and Spain: A special deal for Scotland is unlikely

Scotland, Brexit and Spain: A special deal for Scotland is unlikely

Share this:Scotland’s First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, has indicated that she may call a second independence referendum if the UK government pursues a ‘hard’ Brexit. Paul Anderson writes on the options for Scotland, and the role Spain could play as it seeks to deal with its own secession issue in Catalonia. He states that it is unlikely a special deal for Scotland will be possible during the Brexit negotiations, but that Theresa May would be wise to avoid making the same mistakes in...

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The Scottish Government’s Brexit proposals are politically savvy and all-but-impossible

The Scottish Government’s Brexit proposals are politically savvy and all-but-impossible

Share this:Nicola Sturgeon recently unveiled her government’s well-trailed, long-awaited Brexit paper. The 62-page paper sets out two options. The Scottish Government’s preferred outcome is for the UK to participate fully in the European single market and to remain within the EU’s customs union. Daniel Kenealy argues that these plans may be politically savvy, but are all-but-impossible to put into practice. Sturgeon proposes that the UK joins the European Economic Area (EEA) Agreement,...

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While the UK prepares for Brexit, the SNP are laying the groundwork for a new independence referendum

Share this:The Scottish Government has indicated that it may call a second independence referendum as a result of the UK’s decision to leave the EU. Richard Rose writes that the SNP are already establishing the foundations for a new independence campaign and Scotland’s First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, may quickly propose legislation for another referendum once the UK triggers Article 50. While Westminster politicians await the day next year when Theresa May will trigger Article 50,...

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What does Brexit mean for Scottish politics?

Share this:All of Scotland’s local authorities voted to stay in the EU, with 62 percent of voters backing Remain. James Mitchell traces support for the EU back in time, explaining that the initially tepid enthusiasm increased considerably as the EU became more closely associated with trade union rights. Nicola Sturgeon has already taken steps to secure continued engagement with the EU, while Brexit presents particular challenges for Scotland’s Tories. The Brexit vote provides further...

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