European
Acting Man
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Riding the Type 3 Mega Market Melt Up Train
Beta-driven Fantasy The decade long bull market run, aside from making everyone ridiculously rich, has opened up a new array of competencies. The proliferation of ETFs, for instance, has precipitated a heyday for the ETF Analyst. So, too, blind faith in data has prompted the rise of Psychic Quants… who see the future by modeling the past. Gandalf, quant of Middle-Earth, dispensing sage advice. [PT] For the big financial outfits, optimizing...
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Maurice Jackson Interviews Brien Lundin and Jayant Bhandari
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Targeting nGDP Targeting – Precious Metals Supply and Demand
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Maybe the West Should Adopt Iran’s Nuclear Weapons Policy
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The Federal Reserve is a Barbarous Relic
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Incrementum 2019 Gold Chart Book
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The Golden Autumn Season – One of the Most Reliable Seasonal Patterns Begins
Antonio Fatas
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Stock market getting cheaper (relative to bonds)
Several indicators are signaling an increase in the probability of a recession. Most of these indicators are variables that have shown to be statistically leading the recession but they cannot always be seen as the cause of one (for example, an inverted yield curve)In the search of a cause for a recession we typically look for imbalances. One that has mattered in the past is asset price bubbles. Standard valuation metrics of the stock market...
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Redefining money in a digital age
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Libra: not a currency board and (maybe) not a stable currency
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This time might not be different
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The 2020 (US) Recession
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How low is low for Chinese GDP growth?
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Global Rebalancing
Bruegel Think Thank
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Scholz’s improved plan to complete the banking union
The head of German Finance has written in the 'Financial Times' defending the need to deepen the banking union, now London is about to leave By: Rebecca Christie Date: November 8, 2019 Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance Germany’s finance minister wrote an op-ed to praise the idea of pan-European deposit insurance, but if this is progress, it’s only the start of the debate.Olaf Scholz wrote in the Financial Times of an...
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A Primer on Developing European Public Goods: A report to Ministers Bruno Le Maire and Olaf Scholz
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How to make the European Green Deal work (Part One)
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Why investors should temper optimism over a China trade rally
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China’s growing presence on the Russian market and what it means for the European Union
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HK, Taiwan divergence result of economic policies
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Politics, not policy will help Lagarde save the eurozone
Centre for European Reforms
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Time for a regime change in Frankfurt
In recent years, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy has been half of what is necessary, two years late. To get eurozone inflation back to its ‘close to 2 per cent’ target, the ECB needs to be much bolder. The ECB’s meeting on March 10th is shaping up to be one of its most anticipated. Inflation remains far below target and market expectations of future inflation have hardened at very low levels, indicating that investors have...
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The refugee crisis: Fixing Schengen is not enough
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Deal done: Now for the hard work
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Would an ‘independent’ Britain want to join the single market?
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China’s European charm offensive: Silk Road or Silk Rope?
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Merkel after Paris
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Terrorism in Paris: Aux armes, citoyens?
Chris Dillow: Stumbling and Mumbling
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Seeing what we expect
Read the words in the triangles. Now read them again. If you are like most people unprepared for the task, you’ll have read even these very simple sentences wrongly. You’ll have committed the mistake of seeing what you expect rather than what is there; you are so used to seeing such familiar phrases that you expect to see them even when what is actually there is a slight variation on them. This is why it is impossible for most of us to...
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Resilience and selection
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Shoring up capitalism
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The right’s mega-rich problem
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Trust cycles in politics
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Mechanisms, not numbers
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On constraints in politics
Craig Willy
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The Romanian Palimpsest
The foreigner in Romania is immediately struck by the country’s hybrid culture. This is obvious from the first words one learns to garble: piața (very close pronunciation to Italian’s piazza), mersi (from the French merci, though the “r” is a little more rolled), da (yes…), or even bacşiş (baksheesh). We then have a mysterious mélange of Western and Eastern Europe, the Romanian roots are decidedly mixed. Like in any country, the stages of...
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Krugman Vindicated?: Eurozone Debt Apparently Falling
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ECB’s Cœuré Calls on Politicians to Hurry Up and Build the Eurozone Superstate and Federal Budget
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Why is so much official EU art ugly?
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Draghi: EU is “most advanced experiment” in transnational government
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Eurostat: Women Outnumber Men 2-to-1 in Teaching Across Europe (But Still Under-Represented in Universities)
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Why is free Kosovo providing highest number of “asylum-seekers” to the EU?
David Smith’s EconomicsUK
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Spend, spend, spend, but beware the bond market
Spend, spend, spend, but beware the bond market Posted by David Smith at 09:00 AMCategory: David Smith's other articles My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. This is turning into an autumn of cancellations, not of trains because of leaves on the line, though no doubt there have been some of those, but of economic events. Last Wednesday was supposed to be Sajid Javid’s first budget but...
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Beyond Punch & Judy, some good ideas for the economy
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All dressed up for the budget, but nowhere to go
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Can the next Bank governor avoid negative interest rates?
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The long and the short of Johnson’s Brexit deal
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This deal isn’t flying, but no-deal still has to be grounded
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Corbyn’s not popular, but many of his ideas are
Economistmeg
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The Eurozone’s Japanification–Nov 4
The eurozone has some worrying Japan-like qualities—potential growth is weak, demographics are unfavorable and the European Central Bank has extended its foray into unconventional monetary policy to not only buy up bonds but to impose negative rates as well. With most investors and analysts convinced the worst of the euro crisis is behind us, will we look back when the next downturn hits and think “what a wasted recovery?” What does the...
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Don’t Hold Your Breath for Fiscal Stimulus
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Strong labor market, despite GM
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Boeing is dragging down the US economy
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Why inflation is stubbornly weak
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Greece’s Economy: Resurgent, but Still Fragile
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Agents of Change: the Economics and Politics of Reforms
Eurostat News Releases
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How satisfied are people with their lives?
Download PDF
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Volume of retail trade up by 0.1% in euro area
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Industrial producer prices up by 0.1% in both euro area and EU28
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GDP up by 0.2% in the euro area and by 0.3% in the EU28
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Euro area unemployment at 7.5%
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Euro area annual inflation down to 0.7%
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Tax-to-GDP ratio up to 40.3% in EU
IFO Hans-Werner Sinn & Clemens Fuest
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ifo Institute: Economic Experts Fear Tariff War Will Shrink World Trade
International economic experts fear that the tariff war between the US, China, and Europe will lead to a decline in world trade. This is the result of the World Economic Survey conducted by the ifo Institute among 1,130 economists worldwide. When asked to name the most significant consequence of the higher tariffs, the predominant answer was “less trade.” This answer scored 1.7 on a scale of 1 to 3, where 1...
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ifo Economists’ Panel: Economists Do Not Expect East German States to Catch up Any Further
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CESifo Newsletter 2019/04
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Légère amélioration de l’indice ifo du climat économique mondial
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ifo World Economic Climate Recovers Slightly
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Institut ifo : Les économistes redoutent les effets négatifs d’une guerre douanière sur le commerce mondial
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ifo President Fuest Calls for a “Europe of Opportunity” Instead of “Europe As a Fortress”
Il fatto quotidiano Alberto Bagnai
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Alberto Bagnai – Il Fatto Quotidiano
Guardate questo breve scambio su Twitter: Paolo Cirino Pomicino sostiene che l’entrata nell’euro non fu di per sé un errore: l’errore fu entrarci al cambio sbagliato. Alla richiesta di precisare quale sarebbe stato quello giusto, precisa: “poco più della metà”. Insomma, il cambio corretto, secondo Cirino Pomicino, sarebbe stato di circa 1000 lire per euro (la conversazione, se interessa, è qui). Qualcuno penserà: “Chiacchiere del sabato...
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Orlando privatizza la giustizia online
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Orlando privatizza la giustizia online
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I disoccupati “veri” in Italia sono il 30%: più che in Grecia
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I disoccupati “veri” in Italia sono il 30%: più che in Grecia
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Non è il libero commercio che favorisce i lavoratori
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Non è il libero commercio che favorisce i lavoratori
London School of Economics
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The danger of personalised power in the EU
The EU has frequently been caricatured as a ‘faceless bureaucracy’, where rules and procedures take precedence over powerful personalities. Yet this depersonalisation of power has recently been challenged by the emergence of some visible, decisive figures. Jonathan White argues that while this may be seen as a welcome improvement by some observers, when power is located in a small, rotating cast of individuals acting at their own discretion,...
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Book Review: Visions of Empire: How Five Imperial Regimes Shaped the World by Krishan Kumar
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Explaining the surge of the far-right ahead of Spain’s election
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Can the European Union tackle corruption and state capture?
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How coalition dynamics affect Eurosceptic voting in European Parliament elections
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Much greener than expected: Key takeaways from the 2019 Swiss federal elections
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Thirty years after the fall of the Berlin Wall, the ghosts of West European communism live on
MNI Euro Insight
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MNI Euro Insight 1970-01-01 00:00:00
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MORNING DIGEST: July 18, 2016
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MORNING DIGEST: July 15, 2016
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Analysis: Vestager Comments Suggest Some Investor Bail-in if Italy’s Banks are Recapitalised
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Analysis: Bank of England Easing Decision is Delayed, not Cancelled, While MPC Gathers Data
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MORNING DIGEST: July 14, 2016
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Euro Insight Poll: Brexit Crushes Hopes for Stronger Eurozone Recovery
On French Politics
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Vers la démocratie avec James Kloppenberg
Share the post "Vers la démocratie avec James Kloppenberg" En 2016, l’historien américain James Kloppenberg a publié Toward Democracy, un livre qui, en près de 1000 pages, évoque de manière quasi-exhaustive l’évolution de la pensée démocratique des deux côtés de l’Atlantique depuis le dix-septième siècle. A l’occasion de la sortie de Toward Democracy en livre de poche, Jacob Hamburger et Matthew Jackson ont interviewé le...
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Cross-post at the LPE Blog
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Lucidity and Brain-Death
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Jupiter Redux
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Revue de Presse: November 3
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The Need for Neodemocracy
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American Aristocracy
Political Thoughts – the magazine
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Where is the best place to live in the world?
I was in the barbers last week talking about a recent visit to the South of France. I was asked where I would most like to live. I said "not the South of France" - much too hot in summer nowadays, the beaches are skirted by major roads, the prices are too high. I said "I think here is the best place and that is why I live here". The barber seemed shocked, she had only really seen here and had a couple of Mediterranean...
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Migration and Saving the NHS
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The Abandonment of Democracy: Have teachers failed society?
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Environmentalism in the EU
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Fighting a Brexit Election
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Why a Second Referendum is Undemocratic
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Boris Johnson must publicly reject the Treasury Predictions
Professor Werner
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EU Basics – Your Guide to the UK Referendum on EU Membership
By Professor Richard A. Werner, D.Phil. (Oxon) 20 June 2016 The British people should be clear about just what they will be voting on at the EU referendum this Thursday. What does it actually mean to stay in the EU? What does it mean to exit? Concerning the second question, the dominant issue in the debate has been the question whether there will be a significant negative economic impact on the UK from exiting the EU. Prime Minister David...
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Is Germany to blame for the European mess?
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„Negative“ Interest Rates and the War on Cash
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What should be done about Greece – and what is likely to happen
Protesilaos Stavrou
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The shadow play of “populism”
2019-08-29 I listened to the Project Syndicate podcast Understanding Economic Populism (published on 2019-08-27). The title is misleading because it does not offer any real insight into the specifics of the topic at hand. The discussion revolves around the tenuous binary of liberalism vs populism, where the former ostensibly represents prudent policy-making with an eye for its longer-term implications, while the latter stands for...
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No optimism for the European Union
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Against the secularised theology of statecraft
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After Capitalism
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The extreme right is the new right
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Note on supporting free culture
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On Gigantism
Rybinski
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Page not found · GitHub Pages
Page not found · GitHub Pages File not found The site configured at this address does not contain the requested file. If this is your site, make sure that the filename case matches the URL.For root URLs (like http://example.com/) you must provide an index.html file. Read the full documentation for more information about using GitHub Pages.
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Szczęśliwego Nowego Roku – kilka dobrych rad na koniec
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Polska przekracza granice międzynarodowej śmieszności
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Czy testy czynią uczniów głupszymi
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Czy sprawdziły się moje prognozy na 2016 rok
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What Trump election means for global economy?
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Spór o kluczowe wartości wymaga przeprowadzenia referendum
The Economist Europe
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How women are singled out for vile abuse for political ends
AFTER JESSIKKA ARO, a 38-year-old Finnish journalist, exposed pro-Kremlin trolls, they started trolling her. They released her medical history and her home address. They created a music video mocking her as a “Bond girl”. They claimed, without basis, that she was a prostitute soliciting male bigwigs from the CIA and NATO, who fed her lies about Russia. Some Finns read and believed the bogus stories online, then threatened to rape or kill...
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Estonia has a new way to stop speeding motorists
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The sudden popularity of a Russian mayor who lives modestly
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How genocide denial warps Turkish politics
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Spain goes to the polls for the fourth time in four years
The Market Monetarist
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The blog has MOVED to mamoadvisory.com
Markets & Money Advisory’s website is now up and running. You find it here. If you normally receive mails from The Market Monetarist you in the future instead will receive mails from Markets & Money Advisory instead. As a general rule we will try to avoid spamming our followers, readers and clients so we will try to only send out the newsletter once a week – unless there is “breaking news” such as key monetary policy announcement or...
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New Markets & Money Advisory website
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MTB Cast #3: Inflation worries hitting the markets?
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Reflections on the Fed hike
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FOMC preview – please hike, but be careful going forward
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MTB cast #2: Icelandic currency controls, the Fed and European central bankers
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MTB cast #1: Czech inflation to rise above 3%
VoxEU
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The political colour of fiscal responsibility
The political colour of fiscal responsibility: Trump's fiscal policy is in the wake of Republican tradition In an article published in the New York Times on 25 October 2019, Alan Rappeport notes that the US federal budget deficit has swelled to $984 billion, and is expected to top $1 trillion in 2020. Annual budget deficits have now increased for four consecutive years, in a period during which the economy has been booming....
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Resolving the missing deflation and inflation puzzles
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How the iPhone widens the US trade deficit with China
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The economics of neutrality in World War II
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Does the inflow of precious metals from the New World really explain the ‘Great Inflation’ in renaissance Europe?
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The costs of using a regional trade agreement
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Homeownership and intergenerational income mobility
