European
Vox EU
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The falling elasticity of global trade to economic activity
The falling elasticity of global trade to economic activity: Testing the demand channel, improving global trade forecasts In recent years there has been debate over whether the global trade slowdown and related fall in trade-to-income elasticity was structural or cyclical. This column estimates the standard import equation for 40 advanced and developing economies using an import intensity-adjusted measure of aggregate demand....
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Acquiring bank networks
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‘Magical’ warfare technologies and the persistence of false beliefs
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W. Arthur Lewis and the tradeoffs of economics and economists
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Financial constraints and nominal rigidities
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Shedding (night-time) light on the local resource curse
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The EU Macroeconomic Imbalance Procedure: Some impact and no sanctions
Acting Man: Pater Tenebrarum
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Central Banks – Tiptoeing Toward the Exit
Frisky Fed Hike-o-Matic We haven’t commented on central bank policy for a while, mainly because it threatened to become repetitive; there just didn’t seem anything new to say. Things have recently changed a bit though. A little over a week ago we received an email from Brian Dowd of Focus Economics, who asked if we would care to comment on the efforts by the Fed and the ECB to exit unconventional monetary policy and whether they could do so...
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Is Trump a Modern Caesar?
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Pope Francis and Angela Merkel: Enemies of European Civilization
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The Fed Rate Hike and Gold – Precious Metals Supply and Demand
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Monetary Madness and Rabbit Consumption
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The Valium Era
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How to Discover Unknown Market Anomalies
Bruegel Think Thank
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Nord Stream 2 means gains for Germany but pain for Europe
The proposed Nord Stream 2 pipeline could destabilise European energy cooperation and offer Gazprom excessive influence in Central and Eastern Europe. These disadvantages do not justify the commercial benefits for German companies. This opinion piece was also published in German in EnerGate The construction of a new pipeline under the Baltic Sea between Russia and Germany throws up a series of economic, legal and political questions....
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Raising the inflation target: a question of robustness
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Can EU actors keep using common law after Brexit?
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The size and location of Europe’s defence industry
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Exiting the European Union Committee
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Combating inequalities as a lever to boost job creation and growth
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Lights on, Africa! Europe must coordinate support for electrification
London School of Eco. Blog
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Taking back control – one year on. But control of what?
The referendum was all about ‘taking back control’ from Brussels. The idea resonated among voters not only because of migration policy, but due to a lack of control over economic and democratic matters, argues Sarah Longlands. With the first anniversary of the referendum, we need to rethink how we approach ‘control’. The central argument of the ‘Vote leave’ campaign during the EU Referendum campaign was based on the idea that a vote to leave...
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Third-way à la française: What do Macron’s reforms involve and how likely are they to succeed?
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Albania’s election: A country in need of a new political narrative as it aims to open EU accession talks
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Shaped by pragmatism: What the Czechs want to get out of Brexit
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The Brexit talks have started, but have the French and British elections changed the tone?
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Deepening the Economic and Monetary Union: What the Commission missed in its reflection paper
The Market Monetarist
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The blog has MOVED to mamoadvisory.com
Markets & Money Advisory’s website is now up and running. You find it here. If you normally receive mails from The Market Monetarist you in the future instead will receive mails from Markets & Money Advisory instead. As a general rule we will try to avoid spamming our followers, readers and clients so we will try to only send out the newsletter once a week – unless there is “breaking news” such as key monetary policy announcement or...
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New Markets & Money Advisory website
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MTB Cast #3: Inflation worries hitting the markets?
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Reflections on the Fed hike
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FOMC preview – please hike, but be careful going forward
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MTB cast #2: Icelandic currency controls, the Fed and European central bankers
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MTB cast #1: Czech inflation to rise above 3%
IFO Institute
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Eastern German Economy Maintains Momentum, but International Uncertainty Dampens Dynamic
The ifo Institute has upwardly revised its economic forecast for Eastern Germany and Saxony. The eastern German economy is now expected to grow strongly by 1.8 percent in both 2017 and 2018 respectively, versus ifo’s previous forecast of just 1.3 percent growth in 2017. In Saxony economic output will increase slightly more dynamically at 1.9 percent in 2017 and 2.0 percent in 2018, compared to previous ifo forecasts of 1.4 percent for 2017....
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CESifo Newsletter 2017/05
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Increase in ifo Institute’s Economic Forecast
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ifo Dresden Newsletter 19 June 2017
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EconPol Europe – the European Research Network – established by the ifo Institute and Eight Renowned Partners
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Buffering Volatility: A Study on the Limits of Germany’s Energy Revolution
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What Marx Means Today
On French Politics
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La droite déconstructée par les Constructifs
Thierry Solère has formed a new group in the National Assembly, Les Constructifs. This consummates the fracture on the right. Or, rather, one of the fractures. The usual dance of ambitions will ensure that other fissures deepen as well. Baroin vs. Wauquiez is one. The Juppéistes have already merged with the Macronistes, while Solère merely declares himself and his faction Macron-compatible.Re Solère, here's an interesting tidbit from...
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Movement at Last in EU?
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Blessing in Disguise
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La moralisation moralisée
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Legislatives, Round 2
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Legislatives–First Projections
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On the Legislative Elections
Eurostat News Releases
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Debt mainly held by non-residents in half of the EU Member States
Download PDF
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Production in construction up by 0.3% in euro area
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Job vacancy rate at 1.9% in both euro area and EU28
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Annual inflation down to 1.4% in the euro area
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Annual growth in labour costs at 1.5% in euro area
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New digital publication presenting our online world in figures
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Euro area international trade in goods surplus €17.9 bn
Antonio Fatas
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Make the Risk Premium small again
In one my previous posts I looked at the stock market valuations in the US to conclude that they were in line with recent historical data. In fact the stock market looked cheap relative to most years since the mid 1980s.But that was before the US election! Since the election the stock market has gone up and interest rates have gone up as well. How do stock market valuations look like today?I follow the same methodology of the previous post and...
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The OECD procyclical revision of fiscal policy multipliers
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The stock market looks cheap
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You can lower interest rates but can you raise inflation?
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Experts, facts and media
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9, 8, 7, 6.7,… Speculating on China growth
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The asymmetry of inflation or the ECB?
Political Thoughts – The Magazine
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The 2017 General Election
Theresa May was absolutely awful wasn't she? It was as if she didn't want to win.Jeremy Corbyn is worse than Theresa May. He is an unreformed 1970s Far Lefty. Thank goodness the election did not hand him power. It is puzzling that anyone would have risked voting for him. I can only assume that many Remoaners were so embittered by the Referendum that they didn't care what happened.Britain was the hope of the world. It emerged as victor...
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GCSE Results Down this Year
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Channel 4 Factcheck – Impartial or Post-Marxist?
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The Manchester Atrocity – Why?
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Macron, the Future of the European Union (EU) and why Brexit is Irreversible
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The Internationalists Win France! Macron is President.
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Scottish Independence Referendum
Protesilaos Stavrou
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On the EU reflection paper about security and defence
On June 7, 2017 the European Commission published a “reflection paper” on the future of Europe’s defence and security policy.1 This is the fourth in the series.2 It builds on a number of initiatives that were launched in the second half of last year regarding the further integration of European Security and Defence Policy (CSDP), as well as the White Paper on the future of the EU. The overarching theme is to lay the foundations of a holistic...
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On the EU reflection paper about euro reform
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Thoughts on the future of EU defence
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On the EU reflection paper about globalisation
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Brexit and the choice between Parliaments or Populism with referenda
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Thoughts on the European Pillar of Social Rights
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On the new conservative narratives
Il fatto quotidiano Alberto Bagnai
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Non è il libero commercio che favorisce i lavoratori
I poveri non si arricchiscono comprando beni meno cari (cioè con la globalizzazione), ma guadagnando di più. E finora i dazi li ha messi Berlino I dazi! I muri! Le guerre! L’avvento di Trump ha colto di sorpresa i commentatori, cui sembra strano che, dopo trent’anni e passa di diminuzione della quota salari, gli oppressi, non potendo...
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Trump è lì per difendere il capitalismo da se stesso
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Media, la repressione del dissenso punta a ridare monopolio alle grandi testate. Ma così favorisce le destre
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Inaudito! C’è un dibattito sull’euro anche a sinistra
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Stradella, musica sacra e profana dell’Italia che fu la Patria dei talenti
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Duemilamiliardi di Pil andati in fumo dal 2008
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Produzione industriale, i numeri di un disastro che non ha precedenti
The Economist Europe
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In Naples, the hit-men are children
LESS than a hundred yards away, Via San Biagio dei Librai in the centre of Naples bustles with activity. Tourists buy souvenirs and munch pizza, oblivious to the meaning of the coded graffiti on the street’s peeling walls. But in a side alley, all is solemn hush. Beyond a door, in a courtyard, stands a tall metal cabinet displaying a ceramic bust of a young man, surrounded by fresh white roses. If not for his hipster beard and haircut, it...
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Emmanuel Macron’s government is off to a floppy start
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Romania’s Social Democrats yank their own prime minister
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A split over refugees has left the Dutch with no government
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Germany’s Russian gas pipeline smells funny to America
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A new Hungarian liberal party challenges the autocratic Viktor Orban
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Aleksei Navalny’s protesters are a force to be reckoned with
Rybinski Forum
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Page not found · GitHub Pages
Page not found · GitHub Pages File not found The site configured at this address does not contain the requested file. If this is your site, make sure that the filename case matches the URL.For root URLs (like http://example.com/) you must provide an index.html file. Read the full documentation for more information about using GitHub Pages.
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Szczęśliwego Nowego Roku – kilka dobrych rad na koniec
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Polska przekracza granice międzynarodowej śmieszności
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Czy testy czynią uczniów głupszymi
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Czy sprawdziły się moje prognozy na 2016 rok
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What Trump election means for global economy?
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Spór o kluczowe wartości wymaga przeprowadzenia referendum
Profesor Werner
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EU Basics – Your Guide to the UK Referendum on EU Membership
By Professor Richard A. Werner, D.Phil. (Oxon) 20 June 2016 The British people should be clear about just what they will be voting on at the EU referendum this Thursday. What does it actually mean to stay in the EU? What does it mean to exit? Concerning the second question, the dominant issue in the debate has been the question whether there will be a significant negative economic impact on the UK from exiting the EU. Prime Minister David...
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Is Germany to blame for the European mess?
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„Negative“ Interest Rates and the War on Cash
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What should be done about Greece – and what is likely to happen
Craig Willy
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The Romanian Palimpsest
The foreigner in Romania is immediately struck by the country’s hybrid culture. This is obvious from the first words one learns to garble: piața (very close pronunciation to Italian’s piazza), mersi (from the French merci, though the “r” is a little more rolled), da (yes…), or even bacşiş (baksheesh). We then have a mysterious mélange of Western and Eastern Europe, the Romanian roots are decidedly mixed. Like in any country, the stages of...
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Krugman Vindicated?: Eurozone Debt Apparently Falling
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ECB’s Cœuré Calls on Politicians to Hurry Up and Build the Eurozone Superstate and Federal Budget
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Why is so much official EU art ugly?
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Draghi: EU is “most advanced experiment” in transnational government
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Eurostat: Women Outnumber Men 2-to-1 in Teaching Across Europe (But Still Under-Represented in Universities)
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Why is free Kosovo providing highest number of “asylum-seekers” to the EU?
MNI Euro Insight
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MORNING DIGEST: July 18, 2016
EU foreign ministers gather in Brussels Monday, with the situation in Turkey set to top the discussions, along with the ongoing terrorism threats in Europe following the Nice attack. They will be joined by John Kerry, the US Secretary of State, to talk about EU-US relations and how to move forward with global foreign policy issues. Boris Johnson, recently appointed UK foreign secretary following the British vote to leave the EU, will make his...
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MORNING DIGEST: July 15, 2016
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Analysis: Vestager Comments Suggest Some Investor Bail-in if Italy’s Banks are Recapitalised
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Analysis: Bank of England Easing Decision is Delayed, not Cancelled, While MPC Gathers Data
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MORNING DIGEST: July 14, 2016
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Euro Insight Poll: Brexit Crushes Hopes for Stronger Eurozone Recovery
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Analysis: NATO’s Troop Buildup Seeks to Contain Russian Expansion but Alliance is Split on Strategy
Centre for European Reforms
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Time for a regime change in Frankfurt
In recent years, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy has been half of what is necessary, two years late. To get eurozone inflation back to its ‘close to 2 per cent’ target, the ECB needs to be much bolder. The ECB’s meeting on March 10th is shaping up to be one of its most anticipated. Inflation remains far below target and market expectations of future inflation have hardened at very low levels, indicating that investors have...
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The refugee crisis: Fixing Schengen is not enough
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Deal done: Now for the hard work
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Would an ‘independent’ Britain want to join the single market?
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China’s European charm offensive: Silk Road or Silk Rope?
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Merkel after Paris
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Terrorism in Paris: Aux armes, citoyens?
Ecconomistmeg
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Argentina’s Options: What happens after default?
Argentina’s Options: What happens after default? Argentina is probably going to default tomorrow. An Argentinian debt default would clearly not be good for the country economically, but contagion would probably be limited and far less hard hitting than its previous 2001 default. If Argentina does default tomorrow, the biggest casualty would be the process of sovereign debt restructuring, which would become chaotic and haphazard. How...
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Will the ECB’s Actions Be Enough?
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A shift in German policy? Not so fast!
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The Eurozone’s Imperfect Banking Union
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How Germany Just Undercut the Euro
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Berlusconi Prepares a New Italian Drama
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Bulgarian Election Shows Need to Clean House