European
Acting Man
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Geopolitical Shocks and Financial Markets
Involuntary Early Retirement of a Middle Eastern General The procession of news through the week – namely that chronicling the aftermath of the targeted drone strike and killing of Iranian General Qasem Soleimani – advanced with an agreeable flow. The reports at the start of the week were that Orange Man Bad had spun up a Middle Eastern mob of whirling dervishes beyond recall. World War III was imminent. The recently expired general, when...
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How the Fed Robs You of Your Life
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Wealth Consumption vs. Growth – Precious Metals Supply and Demand
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Real High Crimes and Misdemeanors
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Spitting in Uber’s Soup
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The Strongest Seasonal Advance in Precious Metals Begins Now
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Eulogies for a Central Planner Reviewed – Precious Metals Supply and Demand
Antonio Fatas
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Stock market getting cheaper (relative to bonds)
Several indicators are signaling an increase in the probability of a recession. Most of these indicators are variables that have shown to be statistically leading the recession but they cannot always be seen as the cause of one (for example, an inverted yield curve)In the search of a cause for a recession we typically look for imbalances. One that has mattered in the past is asset price bubbles. Standard valuation metrics of the stock market...
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Redefining money in a digital age
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Libra: not a currency board and (maybe) not a stable currency
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This time might not be different
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The 2020 (US) Recession
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How low is low for Chinese GDP growth?
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Global Rebalancing
Bruegel Think Thank
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A European anti–money laundering supervisor: From vision to legislation
In fighting Anti Money Laundering, The European Commission should act fast toward creating a central supervisory authority.The European Union is moving toward implementing a policy to strengthen anti–money laundering (AML) supervision across its Single Market, namely enforcing requirements on banks and other firms to ensure they do not facilitate transactions involving proceeds from illegal activities. The European Commission, in charge of the...
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Do AI markets create competition policy concerns?
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How could net balances change in the next EU budget?
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European capital markets union, by rule and by choice
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Incorporating political risks into debt sustainability analysis
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AI in Europe: a conversation with Google’s CEO
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Paying for the European Green Deal
Centre for European Reforms
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Time for a regime change in Frankfurt
In recent years, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy has been half of what is necessary, two years late. To get eurozone inflation back to its ‘close to 2 per cent’ target, the ECB needs to be much bolder. The ECB’s meeting on March 10th is shaping up to be one of its most anticipated. Inflation remains far below target and market expectations of future inflation have hardened at very low levels, indicating that investors have...
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The refugee crisis: Fixing Schengen is not enough
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Deal done: Now for the hard work
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Would an ‘independent’ Britain want to join the single market?
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China’s European charm offensive: Silk Road or Silk Rope?
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Merkel after Paris
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Terrorism in Paris: Aux armes, citoyens?
Chris Dillow: Stumbling and Mumbling
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The interest rate puzzle
Simon points to the widespread (but not universal) consensus among economists that house prices are high because (pdf) interest rates are low. For me, this raises a puzzle. On the one hand, this seems not just true, but trivially true. Housing is an asset. And the price of an asset should be equal to the present value of its future cashflows: rent if you’re a landlord or the rent saved if you’re an owner-occupier. Lower interest rates raise...
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Inequality under New Labour
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A case for nationalizing pensions
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Great economics, bad politics
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Two conservatisms
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The strange death of libertarian England
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Labour’s public opinion dilemma
Craig Willy
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The Romanian Palimpsest
The foreigner in Romania is immediately struck by the country’s hybrid culture. This is obvious from the first words one learns to garble: piața (very close pronunciation to Italian’s piazza), mersi (from the French merci, though the “r” is a little more rolled), da (yes…), or even bacşiş (baksheesh). We then have a mysterious mélange of Western and Eastern Europe, the Romanian roots are decidedly mixed. Like in any country, the stages of...
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Krugman Vindicated?: Eurozone Debt Apparently Falling
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ECB’s Cœuré Calls on Politicians to Hurry Up and Build the Eurozone Superstate and Federal Budget
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Why is so much official EU art ugly?
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Draghi: EU is “most advanced experiment” in transnational government
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Eurostat: Women Outnumber Men 2-to-1 in Teaching Across Europe (But Still Under-Represented in Universities)
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Why is free Kosovo providing highest number of “asylum-seekers” to the EU?
David Smith’s EconomicsUK
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Forget the Romans, what has the EU ever done for us?
Forget the Romans, what has the EU ever done for us? Posted by David Smith at 09:00 AMCategory: David Smith's other articles My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. The moment has nearly arrived. Unless something really unusual happens in the next few days, this will be the last column I write here while Britain is a member of the European Union. By next weekend we will be out. And,...
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A rate cut now would be a vote of no confidence
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Hoping for the best on Brexit and world trade
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Forecasters were too upbeat on growth but too gloomy on jobs
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As well as infrastructure, regions need a shot of entrepreneurial spirit
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A big win – now Tories need to reboot the economy
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The election’s nearly over, but uncertainty will remain
Economistmeg
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What Will the New Decade in Global Trade Bring?
I was honoured to be the first to contribute to a series of publications and roundtable discussions as part of the Chatham House Global Trade Policy Forum. Given it’s a new year and a new decade, I wrote an outlook for global trade. The markets kicked off January euphoric about a Phase One Deal between the US and China, but with tensions remaining between those two countries and likely escalating between the US and Europe, expect trade...
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What’s Ailing the Global Economy?
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Jobs Day and Women
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Fed on hold
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Should central banks get involved in climate change?
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Wealth taxes don’t work
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The Eurozone’s Japanification–Nov 4
Eurostat News Releases
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Number of nights spent in the EU up by 2.4%
Download PDF
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Share of renewable energy in the EU up to 18.0%
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Government debt down to 86.1% of GDP in euro area
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Seasonally adjusted government deficit unchanged at 0.7% of GDP in the euro area
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Production in construction up by 0.7% in euro area
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Annual inflation up to 1.3% in the euro area
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House prices up by 4.1% in both the euro area and the EU
IFO Hans-Werner Sinn & Clemens Fuest
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ifo Institute: Economic Experts Fear Tariff War Will Shrink World Trade
International economic experts fear that the tariff war between the US, China, and Europe will lead to a decline in world trade. This is the result of the World Economic Survey conducted by the ifo Institute among 1,130 economists worldwide. When asked to name the most significant consequence of the higher tariffs, the predominant answer was “less trade.” This answer scored 1.7 on a scale of 1 to 3, where 1...
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ifo Economists’ Panel: Economists Do Not Expect East German States to Catch up Any Further
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CESifo Newsletter 2019/04
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Légère amélioration de l’indice ifo du climat économique mondial
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ifo World Economic Climate Recovers Slightly
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Institut ifo : Les économistes redoutent les effets négatifs d’une guerre douanière sur le commerce mondial
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ifo President Fuest Calls for a “Europe of Opportunity” Instead of “Europe As a Fortress”
Il fatto quotidiano Alberto Bagnai
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Alberto Bagnai – Il Fatto Quotidiano
Guardate questo breve scambio su Twitter: Paolo Cirino Pomicino sostiene che l’entrata nell’euro non fu di per sé un errore: l’errore fu entrarci al cambio sbagliato. Alla richiesta di precisare quale sarebbe stato quello giusto, precisa: “poco più della metà”. Insomma, il cambio corretto, secondo Cirino Pomicino, sarebbe stato di circa 1000 lire per euro (la conversazione, se interessa, è qui). Qualcuno penserà: “Chiacchiere del sabato...
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Orlando privatizza la giustizia online
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Orlando privatizza la giustizia online
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I disoccupati “veri” in Italia sono il 30%: più che in Grecia
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I disoccupati “veri” in Italia sono il 30%: più che in Grecia
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Non è il libero commercio che favorisce i lavoratori
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Non è il libero commercio che favorisce i lavoratori
London School of Economics
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Book Review: Refuge Beyond Reach: How Rich Democracies Repel Asylum Seekers
In Refuge Beyond Reach: How Rich Democracies Repel Asylum Seekers, David Scott FitzGerald argues that the rich democracies of the Global North have developed ways to evade the spirit of international humanitarian laws when it comes to migration, whilst simultaneously de jure adhering to them. With a rich empirical basis and a clear, accessible style, this compelling and topical book will appeal to a wide range of audiences, writes Denny...
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Lessons from the Nordics: Does party membership still provide a meaningful link between citizens and politics?
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Brexit may make EU trade policy more progressive
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The failed integration of an anti-system party: Where Luigi Di Maio and the Five Star Movement went wrong
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A question of trust: Intra-party delegation in the European Parliament
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How war helped facilitate the introduction of unemployment insurance in the West
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Book Review: Anatomies of Revolution by George Lawson
MNI Euro Insight
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MORNING DIGEST: July 18, 2016
EU foreign ministers gather in Brussels Monday, with the situation in Turkey set to top the discussions, along with the ongoing terrorism threats in Europe following the Nice attack. They will be joined by John Kerry, the US Secretary of State, to talk about EU-US relations and how to move forward with global foreign policy issues. Boris Johnson, recently appointed UK foreign secretary following the British vote to leave the EU, will make his...
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MORNING DIGEST: July 15, 2016
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Analysis: Vestager Comments Suggest Some Investor Bail-in if Italy’s Banks are Recapitalised
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Analysis: Bank of England Easing Decision is Delayed, not Cancelled, While MPC Gathers Data
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MORNING DIGEST: July 14, 2016
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Euro Insight Poll: Brexit Crushes Hopes for Stronger Eurozone Recovery
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Analysis: NATO’s Troop Buildup Seeks to Contain Russian Expansion but Alliance is Split on Strategy
On French Politics
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Political Theory and American Literature
Share the post "Political Theory and American Literature" The journal Political Theory has been experimenting with retrospective online “Guides” on key articles and themes over the course of the journal’s history. I worked with the editors on a “Guide” highlighting the relationship between political theory and American literature. Political theorists such as Judith Shklar, Michael Rogin, George Kateb, Jack Turner, and...
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La politique de l’université en France
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New Article: Voting is a Right, Not a Privilege
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Revue de Presse : 19 janvier
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Chile: A Matter of Time
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« Rien ne peut s’inventer dans les enclos du pouvoir »
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Gender and Meritocracy: A Historical Perspective
Political Thoughts – the magazine
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Multinational Corporations versus Democracy
The Davos jamboree is coming to an end. The fact that it was covered with such enthusiasm by media companies shows how much media companies desire the support of big business.As ordinary citizens Davos confronts us with real challenges. The past 300 years have been a relentless battle between democracy and authoritarianism. We thought we were winning, that elected councils and constituency MPs would represent the wishes of ourselves and our...
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Independence at Last – Hooray!
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Diverting the Population from Environmental Issues
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Reconciling Remain and Leave
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Its not over yet – Why a good Trade Deal with the EU is Needed
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Why Trade Deficits Must be Avoided
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How can the Tories win the 2024 election?
Professor Werner
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EU Basics – Your Guide to the UK Referendum on EU Membership
By Professor Richard A. Werner, D.Phil. (Oxon) 20 June 2016 The British people should be clear about just what they will be voting on at the EU referendum this Thursday. What does it actually mean to stay in the EU? What does it mean to exit? Concerning the second question, the dominant issue in the debate has been the question whether there will be a significant negative economic impact on the UK from exiting the EU. Prime Minister David...
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Is Germany to blame for the European mess?
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„Negative“ Interest Rates and the War on Cash
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What should be done about Greece – and what is likely to happen
Protesilaos Stavrou
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I signed the Public Domain Manifesto
2020-01-10 All my works, whether they are writings or programs, are provided under terms that respect your freedom.1 The rights of end recipients to use, modify, share each work or its derivatives are prerequisites of decentralised and interpersonal creativity; of culture at-large. I believe that many of the problems in our economy or politics in general spring from the misinterpretation of intellectual property and its consequent...
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The untenable capitalist case against billionaires
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Technocratic communism is not the answer
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Notes on the “Joe Rogan Experience” episode #1393
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The shadow play of “populism”
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No optimism for the European Union
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Against the secularised theology of statecraft
Rybinski
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Page not found · GitHub Pages
Page not found · GitHub Pages File not found The site configured at this address does not contain the requested file. If this is your site, make sure that the filename case matches the URL.For root URLs (like http://example.com/) you must provide an index.html file. Read the full documentation for more information about using GitHub Pages.
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Szczęśliwego Nowego Roku – kilka dobrych rad na koniec
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Polska przekracza granice międzynarodowej śmieszności
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Czy testy czynią uczniów głupszymi
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Czy sprawdziły się moje prognozy na 2016 rok
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What Trump election means for global economy?
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Spór o kluczowe wartości wymaga przeprowadzenia referendum
The Economist Europe
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Angela Merkel is loth to take sides over Huawei
Jan 25th 2020BERLINEVERY GERMAN knows the torments of Funklöcher, the patchwork of telephonic dead spots unmolested by radio signals, where smartphones fall silent and internet connections evaporate. Stuck for years in the slow lane of the rich world’s telecoms, Germany is determined not to be left behind as fifth-generation (5G) networks gear up to connect factories, cars and devices. But the government’s plans have hit an unexpected...
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France admits its police are too violent
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Vladimir Putin wants to rehabilitate Stalin’s pact with Hitler
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A supermarket aims to make Romanian farmers pay tax
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Europe confronts Poland over its trampling on the rule of law
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Europe has good and bad reasons for wanting more babies
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France weighs up its thankless mission fighting jihadists in Africa
The Market Monetarist
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Quants should pay a lot more attention to monetary matters – a tale of two Chicago traditions
This morning I was reminded on some comments I made on my Youtube channel (remember to follow) I did back in 2018 on the so-called quants and on the problems with so-called factor investment. Have a look here. [embedded content] Share this:Like this:Like Loading...
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Revisiting the P-star model
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The McCallum rule is back – and so am I
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The blog has MOVED to mamoadvisory.com
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New Markets & Money Advisory website
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MTB Cast #3: Inflation worries hitting the markets?
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Reflections on the Fed hike
VoxEU
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Nature, nurture, and intergenerational mobility
The debate about the influence of ‘nature versus nurture’ in human achievement persists. This column contributes to this debate by linking trends in intergenerational mobility to data from nearly 50,000 twins. The findings suggest that in countries with lower rates of social mobility, family environment (‘nurture’) plays a more significant role than it does in countries where institutions that promote mobility enjoy wide support....
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Housing speculation and its economic consequences
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Threatening central bank independence one tweet at a time
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Betting on the Lord
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Exchange rate reconnect
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Secondary market yields around new debt auctions and ESCB purchases
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Right-wing populism in the tropics: The rise of Jair Bolsonaro
