European
Acting Man
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America’s Road Map to $40 Trillion National Debt by 2028
Planning on Your Behalf Watch out! At this very moment, professional economists of all stripes are making plans on your behalf. They are dreaming and scheming new and innovative ways to spend your money long before you have earned it. Strange and strangely persistent beliefs… [PT] While you are busy at the gristmill, grinding away for clients and customers, claims are being laid upon your life. Your future earnings are being directed to...
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Future Object of Speculation? Precious Metals Supply and Demand
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US Money Supply Growth – Bouncing From a 12-Year Low
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A Gain of 1,080% Annualized – One of the Strongest Seasonal Rallies is Starting Right Now
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Fed Chair Powell’s Inescapable Contradiction
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Zugzwang – Precious Metals Supply and Demand
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Elizabeth Warren’s Plans to MAGA
Antonio Fatas
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Stock market getting cheaper (relative to bonds)
Several indicators are signaling an increase in the probability of a recession. Most of these indicators are variables that have shown to be statistically leading the recession but they cannot always be seen as the cause of one (for example, an inverted yield curve)In the search of a cause for a recession we typically look for imbalances. One that has mattered in the past is asset price bubbles. Standard valuation metrics of the stock market...
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Redefining money in a digital age
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Libra: not a currency board and (maybe) not a stable currency
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This time might not be different
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The 2020 (US) Recession
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How low is low for Chinese GDP growth?
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Global Rebalancing
Bruegel Think Thank
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The Art of the Brexit Deal
An emergency Brexit podcast to dissect today's tentative deal between the EU27 and the British Government, featuring Maria Demertzis, Guntram Wolff and Nicholas Barrett By: The Sound of Economics Date: October 17, 2019 Topic: European Macroeconomics & Governance The British government has reached a deal with the EU27. The agreement is still subject to approval by the British and European parliaments, as well as the European...
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Study on using millimetre waves bands for the deployment of the 5G ecosystem in the Union
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Brexit and Finance: Brace for No Impact?
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Cross-border, but not national, EU interregional development projects are associated with higher growth
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Implications of the Japan – United States Mini Trade Agreement
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Brexit: a European Odyssey
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With or without you: are central European countries ready for the euro?
Centre for European Reforms
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Time for a regime change in Frankfurt
In recent years, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy has been half of what is necessary, two years late. To get eurozone inflation back to its ‘close to 2 per cent’ target, the ECB needs to be much bolder. The ECB’s meeting on March 10th is shaping up to be one of its most anticipated. Inflation remains far below target and market expectations of future inflation have hardened at very low levels, indicating that investors have...
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The refugee crisis: Fixing Schengen is not enough
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Deal done: Now for the hard work
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Would an ‘independent’ Britain want to join the single market?
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China’s European charm offensive: Silk Road or Silk Rope?
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Merkel after Paris
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Terrorism in Paris: Aux armes, citoyens?
Chris Dillow: Stumbling and Mumbling
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Why we are wrong
Eric Lonergan asked a good question yesterday: "why does it take so long for economic beliefs which are repeatedly falsified to change?" I can think of several reasons. A failure to appreciate that the institutional background has changed. Take, for example, big bonuses paid to bankers and CEOs. The idea that we need these to incentivize people is (mostly*) wrong. Instead, they crowd out other motives (pdf) such as professional...
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Financialization as symptom
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On commodification
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The trouble with capitalism
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A start, or an end?
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Doubting disaster capitalism
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On Tory paradoxes
Craig Willy
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The Romanian Palimpsest
The foreigner in Romania is immediately struck by the country’s hybrid culture. This is obvious from the first words one learns to garble: piața (very close pronunciation to Italian’s piazza), mersi (from the French merci, though the “r” is a little more rolled), da (yes…), or even bacşiş (baksheesh). We then have a mysterious mélange of Western and Eastern Europe, the Romanian roots are decidedly mixed. Like in any country, the stages of...
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Krugman Vindicated?: Eurozone Debt Apparently Falling
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ECB’s Cœuré Calls on Politicians to Hurry Up and Build the Eurozone Superstate and Federal Budget
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Why is so much official EU art ugly?
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Draghi: EU is “most advanced experiment” in transnational government
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Eurostat: Women Outnumber Men 2-to-1 in Teaching Across Europe (But Still Under-Represented in Universities)
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Why is free Kosovo providing highest number of “asylum-seekers” to the EU?
David Smith’s EconomicsUK
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The long and the short of Johnson’s Brexit deal
The long and the short of Johnson's Brexit deal Posted by David Smith at 09:00 AMCategory: David Smith's other articles My regular column is available to subscribers on www.thesundaytimes.co.uk This is an excerpt. The shift from extreme pessimism to optimism in recent days over an early agreement on the terms of Brexit was as sudden as it was welcome. Sterling, that reliable Brexit barometer, led the celebrations, with tis best two-day...
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This deal isn’t flying, but no-deal still has to be grounded
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Corbyn’s not popular, but many of his ideas are
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Let’s get fiscal, but avoid the mistakes of the past
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Some good news – but we’re not out of the woods yet
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The record pay squeeze is over – but maybe not for long
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Scrapping HS2 would derail Javid’s infrastructure plan
Economistmeg
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Greece’s Economy: Resurgent, but Still Fragile
Describing the Greek economy these days as a phoenix ascendant from the ashes of crisis is, given the country involved, an apt metaphor. Yet it may be too early to mythologise the Greek economy. Fast money has done well investing in Greece, but the stickier long-term investors that Greece so desperately needs remain sceptical. Until the fundamentals improve, this phoenix still has one wing tied down. Click here for my latest column in the...
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Agents of Change: the Economics and Politics of Reforms
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Consumers cannot carry the US economy for ever
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Trade war showing up in the trade deficit
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Central banks can no longer afford to act in isolation
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What’s driving stock market volatility?
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Central banks to fiscal authorities: don’t look to us to sort out this mess
Eurostat News Releases
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New publication ‘Ageing Europe – looking at the lives of older people’
Download PDF
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New publication ‘Ageing Europe – looking at the lives of older people’
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Production in construction down by 0.5% in euro area
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Euro area international trade in goods surplus €14.7 bn
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Annual inflation down to 0.8% in the euro area
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Downward trend in the share of persons at risk of poverty or social exclusion in the EU
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Industrial production up by 0.4% in euro area
IFO Hans-Werner Sinn & Clemens Fuest
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ifo Institute: Economic Experts Fear Tariff War Will Shrink World Trade
International economic experts fear that the tariff war between the US, China, and Europe will lead to a decline in world trade. This is the result of the World Economic Survey conducted by the ifo Institute among 1,130 economists worldwide. When asked to name the most significant consequence of the higher tariffs, the predominant answer was “less trade.” This answer scored 1.7 on a scale of 1 to 3, where 1...
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ifo Economists’ Panel: Economists Do Not Expect East German States to Catch up Any Further
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CESifo Newsletter 2019/04
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Légère amélioration de l’indice ifo du climat économique mondial
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ifo World Economic Climate Recovers Slightly
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ifo President Fuest Calls for a “Europe of Opportunity” Instead of “Europe As a Fortress”
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Clemens Fuest, le président de l’Institut ifo, oppose sa vision d’une « Europe des chances » à celle d’une « Europe-forteresse »
Il fatto quotidiano Alberto Bagnai
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Alberto Bagnai – Il Fatto Quotidiano
Guardate questo breve scambio su Twitter: Paolo Cirino Pomicino sostiene che l’entrata nell’euro non fu di per sé un errore: l’errore fu entrarci al cambio sbagliato. Alla richiesta di precisare quale sarebbe stato quello giusto, precisa: “poco più della metà”. Insomma, il cambio corretto, secondo Cirino Pomicino, sarebbe stato di circa 1000 lire per euro (la conversazione, se interessa, è qui). Qualcuno penserà: “Chiacchiere del sabato...
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Orlando privatizza la giustizia online
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Orlando privatizza la giustizia online
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I disoccupati “veri” in Italia sono il 30%: più che in Grecia
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I disoccupati “veri” in Italia sono il 30%: più che in Grecia
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Non è il libero commercio che favorisce i lavoratori
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Non è il libero commercio che favorisce i lavoratori
London School of Economics
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A new take on ‘whatever it takes’?
Outgoing ECB President Mario Draghi recently expressed support for a closer fiscal union in the Eurozone, including cross-border fiscal transfers. As Iain Begg writes, these statements have reinvigorated the debate between advocates for risk sharing and proponents of risk reduction. Draghi’s predecessor, Jean-Claude Trichet, has defended Draghi and his proposals against criticism from other former central bankers, but resistance from several...
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Five lessons from Kosovo’s parliamentary elections
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The US-China trade war: Risks and opportunities for the EU and the United Kingdom
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Is the resurgence of Europe’s far-right a cultural or an economic phenomenon?
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Polish election recap: A victory for Law and Justice, but the party may find governing more difficult than before
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Why the EU should open accession negotiations with Albania and North Macedonia
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What to expect from the 2019 Swiss federal elections
MNI Euro Insight
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MORNING DIGEST: July 18, 2016
EU foreign ministers gather in Brussels Monday, with the situation in Turkey set to top the discussions, along with the ongoing terrorism threats in Europe following the Nice attack. They will be joined by John Kerry, the US Secretary of State, to talk about EU-US relations and how to move forward with global foreign policy issues. Boris Johnson, recently appointed UK foreign secretary following the British vote to leave the EU, will make his...
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MORNING DIGEST: July 15, 2016
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Analysis: Vestager Comments Suggest Some Investor Bail-in if Italy’s Banks are Recapitalised
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Analysis: Bank of England Easing Decision is Delayed, not Cancelled, While MPC Gathers Data
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MORNING DIGEST: July 14, 2016
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Euro Insight Poll: Brexit Crushes Hopes for Stronger Eurozone Recovery
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Analysis: NATO’s Troop Buildup Seeks to Contain Russian Expansion but Alliance is Split on Strategy
On French Politics
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Toward Democracy
Share the post "Toward Democracy" In 2016, the American historian James Kloppenberg published Toward Democracy, a book which in just short of 1,000 pages provides a nearly comprehensive history of the evolution of democratic thought on both sides of the Atlantic since the seventeenth century—now out in paperback. Tocqueville 21 blog editor Jacob Hamburger and intern Matthew Jackson spoke with Professor Kloppenberg about...
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Brexit, Tocqueville, and Popular Sovereignty
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Judith Shklar’s Teaching Statement
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Revue de Presse
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Pierre Manent in Search of the Political
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Raphaël Enthoven
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Revue de Presse: September 29
Political Thoughts – the magazine
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Why a Second Referendum is Undemocratic
Imagine there were a General Election won by Labour. Suppose the Tories delayed their departure from office for 3 years and then, when the opinion polls were ripe, held another General Election to "confirm" the first. Surely no-one would say that this was a democracy.Suppose the Scottish were indeed going to leave the UK then a constitutional referendum were held where the Scottish were the critical factor in the vote. The Scottish...
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Boris Johnson must publicly reject the Treasury Predictions
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Democracy will end by 2020 if nothing is done.
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The Broadcast Media and Independence
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No Deal Brexit (WTO, No Transition) will be fine
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Project Fear is Targeted at the Anxious
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No Deal Apocalypse is Project Fear: UK GDP Growth Quarter 3 (Q3) 2019
Professor Werner
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EU Basics – Your Guide to the UK Referendum on EU Membership
By Professor Richard A. Werner, D.Phil. (Oxon) 20 June 2016 The British people should be clear about just what they will be voting on at the EU referendum this Thursday. What does it actually mean to stay in the EU? What does it mean to exit? Concerning the second question, the dominant issue in the debate has been the question whether there will be a significant negative economic impact on the UK from exiting the EU. Prime Minister David...
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Is Germany to blame for the European mess?
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„Negative“ Interest Rates and the War on Cash
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What should be done about Greece – and what is likely to happen
Protesilaos Stavrou
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The shadow play of “populism”
2019-08-29 I listened to the Project Syndicate podcast Understanding Economic Populism (published on 2019-08-27). The title is misleading because it does not offer any real insight into the specifics of the topic at hand. The discussion revolves around the tenuous binary of liberalism vs populism, where the former ostensibly represents prudent policy-making with an eye for its longer-term implications, while the latter stands for...
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No optimism for the European Union
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Against the secularised theology of statecraft
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After Capitalism
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The extreme right is the new right
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Note on supporting free culture
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On Gigantism
Rybinski
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Page not found · GitHub Pages
Page not found · GitHub Pages File not found The site configured at this address does not contain the requested file. If this is your site, make sure that the filename case matches the URL.For root URLs (like http://example.com/) you must provide an index.html file. Read the full documentation for more information about using GitHub Pages.
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Szczęśliwego Nowego Roku – kilka dobrych rad na koniec
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Polska przekracza granice międzynarodowej śmieszności
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Czy testy czynią uczniów głupszymi
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Czy sprawdziły się moje prognozy na 2016 rok
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What Trump election means for global economy?
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Spór o kluczowe wartości wymaga przeprowadzenia referendum
The Economist Europe
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Ursula von der Leyen’s bumpy start
EMMANUEL MACRON was visibly angry. “I need to understand what was at play,” he told journalists on October 10th, chopping the air with his hands. “I need to understand what was at play. Resentment. Pettiness perhaps. But I need to understand.” The European Parliament had just rejected Sylvie Goulard, his nominee for the next European Commission. This had not been part of the plan. Mr Macron won a diplomatic triumph in the summer when he...
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Catalan nationalists protest as their leaders are jailed for sedition
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Why Hungary’s ruling party lost Budapest
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Poland’s ruling populists win again
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A Nobel prize for a writer some call an apologist for genocide
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Portugal’s Socialists fail to win a majority, but will still form the next government
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France is shaken by the murder of four police officers
The Market Monetarist
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The blog has MOVED to mamoadvisory.com
Markets & Money Advisory’s website is now up and running. You find it here. If you normally receive mails from The Market Monetarist you in the future instead will receive mails from Markets & Money Advisory instead. As a general rule we will try to avoid spamming our followers, readers and clients so we will try to only send out the newsletter once a week – unless there is “breaking news” such as key monetary policy announcement or...
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New Markets & Money Advisory website
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MTB Cast #3: Inflation worries hitting the markets?
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Reflections on the Fed hike
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FOMC preview – please hike, but be careful going forward
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MTB cast #2: Icelandic currency controls, the Fed and European central bankers
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MTB cast #1: Czech inflation to rise above 3%
VoxEU
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Working hours and overweight
Changes in working hours and the associated time and energy consumed during work can exert an important influence on people’s fitness. However, the effects of such changes on health behaviour and obesity are not well understood. This column examines the effects of a 2001 French national reform that reduced working hours on employee obesity and overweight. Although reduced working times could, in theory, be used for health-promoting activities,...
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Inversions in US presidential elections, 1836-2016
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Housing policies to combat the affordability crisis
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Tariffs and monetary policy: A toxic mix
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Right here, right now: The quest for a more balanced policy mix
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The link between declining middle-wage jobs, rising wage inequality, and worker welfare
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The impacts of private provision of Medicaid
